Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.802852 4.055415 4.328110 4.646618 5.011316 5.419488 5.916153
2025-04-06 3.405318 3.737087 4.115760 4.587109 5.168916 5.879398 6.840133
2025-04-13 3.058412 3.426182 3.863436 4.435122 5.185499 6.174626 7.654404
2025-04-20 2.888673 3.303289 3.817206 4.525255 5.521138 6.960713 9.424480
2025-04-27 2.749084 3.201237 3.783087 4.625183 5.893896 7.919038 12.000351
2025-05-04 2.662054 3.156105 3.816399 4.822895 6.460407 9.410727 16.927029
2025-05-11 2.547197 3.062117 3.771075 4.898539 6.859039 10.822699 24.100676
2025-05-18 2.425554 2.947526 3.683259 4.894412 7.123844 12.144233 35.460796
2025-05-25 2.269197 2.772487 3.490365 4.693427 6.976564 12.445560 44.620300
2025-06-01 2.159102 2.655451 3.373840 4.604928 7.034613 13.365188 70.156823
2025-06-08 2.073053 2.566999 3.292811 4.566299 7.189506 14.733429 169.635896
2025-06-15 2.019052 2.521236 3.273239 4.633015 7.597727 17.449011 NaN
2025-06-22 1.937496 2.437344 3.198522 4.613079 7.868283 20.495421 NaN
2025-06-29 1.849031 2.338318 3.092433 4.522187 7.949966 23.122155 NaN
2025-07-06 1.753586 2.223836 2.953298 4.351397 7.780550 24.223665 NaN
2025-07-13 1.708732 2.184145 2.935244 4.420667 8.321476 33.000151 NaN
2025-07-20 1.669095 2.149961 2.923482 4.502432 8.962411 50.611999 NaN
2025-07-27 1.646083 2.140195 2.952779 4.679072 10.060254 131.784467 NaN
2025-08-03 1.608097 2.104087 2.932212 4.741775 10.818639 1322.817924 NaN
2025-08-10 1.563435 2.054636 2.883474 4.731240 11.292551 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 1.499064 1.970125 2.765060 4.537589 10.835244 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 1.452311 1.912633 2.693347 4.450983 10.871236 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 1.414608 1.868376 2.643402 4.412147 11.138952 NaN NaN